Abstract
Our understanding about the relationship between education and lifetime earnings often neglects differences by field of study. Utilizing data that match respondents in the Survey of Income and Program Participation to their longitudinal earnings records based on administrative tax information, we investigate the trajectories of annual earnings following the same individuals over 20 years and then estimate the long-term effects of field of study on earnings for U.S. men and women. Our results provide new evidence revealing large lifetime earnings gaps across fields of study. We show important differences in individuals’ earnings trajectories across different stages of the work life by field of study. In addition, the gaps in 40-year (i.e., ages 20 to 59) median lifetime earnings among college graduates by field of study are larger, in many instances, than the median gap between high school graduates and college graduates overall. We also find significant variation among graduate degree holders. Our results uncover important similarities and differences between men and women with regard to the long-term earnings differentials associated with field of study. In general, these findings underscore field of study as a critical dimension of horizontal stratification in educational attainment.
References
|
Arcidiacono, Peter, Hotz, V. Joseph, Kang, Songman. 2012. “Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals.” Journal of Econometrics 166:3-16. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Autor, David H. 2014. “Skills, Education, and the Rise of Earnings Inequality among the ‘Other 99 Percent.’” Science 344:843-51. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Baum, Sandy, Ma, Jennifer. 2007. “Education Pays: The Benefits of Higher Education for Individuals and Society.” College Board: Trends in Higher Education Series 2007. Available at http://www.collegeboard.com/prod_downloads/about/news_info/trends/ed_pays_2007.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
Becker, Gary S. 1981. A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Beffy, Magali, Fougere, Denis, Maurel, Arnaud. 2012. “Choosing the Field of Study in Postsecondary Education: Do Expected Earnings Matter?” Review of Economics and Statistics 94:334-47. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Berger, Mark C. 1988. “Predicted Future Earnings and Choice of College Major.” Industrial and Labor Relations Review 41:418-29. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
Björklund, A. 1993. “A Comparison between Actual Distributions of Annual and Lifetime Income: Sweden 1951-89.” Review of Income and Wealth 39:377-86. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Blau, Peter M., Duncan, Otis D. 1967. The American Occupational Structure. New York: Wiley. Google Scholar | |
|
Bloome, Deirdre, Western, Bruce. 2011. “Cohort Change and Racial Differences in Educational and Income Mobility.” Social Forces 90:375-95. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Bobbitt-Zeher, Donna . 2007. “The Gender Income Gap and the Role of Education.” Sociology of Education 80:1-22. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Bowlus, Audra J., Robin, Jean-Marc. 2004. “Twenty Years of Rising Inequality in U.S. Lifetime Labor Income Values.” Review of Economic Studies 71:709-42. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Brand, Jennie E., Xie, Yu. 2010. “Who Benefits Most from College? Evidence for Negative Selection in Heterogeneous Economic Returns to Higher Education.” American Sociological Review 75:273-302. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Buchmann, Claudia, DiPrete, Thomas A. 2006. “The Growing Female Advantage in College Completion: The Role of Family Background and Academic Achievement.” American Sociological Review 71:515-41. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Carnevale, Anthony P., Cheah, Ban, Hansen, Andrew R. 2015. “The Economic Value of College Majors.” Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce. Available at https://cew.georgetown.edu/cew-reports/valueofcollegemajors/ Google Scholar | |
|
Carnevale, Anthony P., Rose, Stephen J., Cheah, Ban. 2011. “The College Payoff: Education, Occupation, and Lifetime Earnings.” Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce. Available at https://cew.georgetown.edu/report/the-college-payoff/ Google Scholar | |
|
Charles, Maria, Bradley, Karen. 2002. “Equal but Separate? A Cross-national Study of Sex Segregation in Higher Education.” American Sociological Review 67:573-99. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Charles, Maria, Bradley, Karen. 2009. “Indulging Our Gendered Selves? Sex Segregation by Field of Study in 44 Countries.” American Journal of Sociology 114:926-76. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Chetty, Raj, Hendren, Nathaniel, Kline, Patrick, Saez, Emmanuel, Turner, Nicholas. 2014. “Where Is the Land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 129:1553-1623. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Cooke, Thomas J. 2003. “Family Migration and the Relative Earnings of Husbands and Wives.” Annals of the Association of American Geographers 93:341-52. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Corak, Miles . 2013. “Income Inequality, Equality of Opportunity, and Intergenerational Mobility.” Journal of Economic Perspective 27:79-102. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Couch, Kenneth A., Reznik, Gayle L., Tamborini, Christopher R., Iams, Howard M. 2013. “Economic and Health Implications of Long-term Unemployment: Earnings, Disability Benefits, and Mortality.” Research in Labor Economics 38:259-308. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Cristia, Julian P. 2009. Rising mortality and life expectancy differentials by lifetime earnings in the United States. Journal of Health Economics 28:984-95. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Davies, Scott, Guppy, Neil. 1997. “Fields of Study, College Selectivity, and Student Inequalities in Higher Education.” Social Forces 75:1417-38. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Day, Jennifer Cheeseman, Newburger, Eric C. 2002. The Big Payoff: Educational Attainment and Synthetic Estimates of Work-life Earnings. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration. Google Scholar | |
|
Daymont, Thomas N., Andrisani, Paul J. 1984. “Job Preference, College Major, and the Gender Gap in Earnings.” Journal of Human Resources 19:408-28. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Eide, Eric . 1994. “College Major Choice and Changes in the Gender Wage Gap.” Contemporary Economic Policy 12:55-64. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Elder, Glen H., Johnson, Monica Kirkpatrick, Crosnoe, Robert. 2003. “The Emergence and Development of Life Course Theory.” Pp. 3-19 in Handbook of the Life Course, edited by Mortimer, J. T., Shanahan, M. J. New York: Kluwer. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Elder, Glen H., Pavalko, Eliza K. 1993. “Work Careers in Men’s Later Years: Transitions, Trajectories, and Historical Change.” Journal of Gerontology 48:S180-91. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Engen, Eric M., Gale, William G., Uccello, Cori E. 2005. “Lifetime Earnings, Social Security Benefits, and the Adequacy of Retirement Wealth Accumulation.” Social Security Bulletin 66:38-57. Google Scholar | Medline | |
|
England, Paula, Li, Su. 2006. “Desegregation Stalled: The Changing Gender Composition of College Majors, 1971-2002.” Gender and Society 20:657-77. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
Espenshade, Thomas J., Radford, Alexandria Walton. 2009. No Longer Separate, Not yet Equal: Race and Class in Elite College Admission and Campus Life. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Featherman, David L., Hauser, Robert M. 1978. Opportunity and Change. New York: Academic Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Fischer, Claude S., Hout, Michael. 2006. Century of Difference: How America Changed in the Last One Hundred Years. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Google Scholar | |
|
Gerber, Theodore P., Cheung, Sin Yi. 2008. “Horizontal Stratification in Postsecondary Education: Forms, Explanations, and Implications.” Annual Review of Sociology 34:299-318. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Goyette, Kimberly A., Mullen, Ann L. 2006. “Who Studies the Arts and Sciences? Social Background and the Choice and Consequences of Undergraduate Field of Study.” Journal of Higher Education 77:497-538. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Haider, Steven, Solon, Gary. 2006. “Life-cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings.” American Economic Review 96:1308-20. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Hao, Lingxin, Naiman, Daniel Q. 2007. Quantile Regression. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Hauser, Robert M., Warren, John Robert. 1997. “Socioeconomic Indexes for Occupation: A Review, Update, and Critique.” Sociological Methodology 27:177-298. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
Hendricks, Lutz . 2007. “The Intergenerational Persistence of Lifetime Earnings.” European Economic Review 51:125-44. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Herschbein, Brad, Kearney, Melissa. 2014. “Major Decisions: What Graduates Earn over Their Lifetime.” Hamilton Project Report. Available at http://hamiltonproject.org/papers/major_decisions_what_graduates_earn_over_their_lifetimes/ Google Scholar | |
|
Hout, Michael . 2012. “Social and Economic Returns to College Education in the United States.” Annual Review of Sociology 38:379-400. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Huggett, Mark, Ventura, Gustavo, Yaron, Amir. 2011. “Sources of Lifetime Inequality.” American Economic Review 101:2923-54. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Iams, Howard M., Reznik, Gayle L., Tamborini, Christopher R. 2010. “Earnings Sharing in the U.S. Social Security System: A Microsimulation Analysis of Future Female Retirees.” Gerontologist 50:495-508. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Jacobs, Jerry A. 1995. “Gender and Academic Specialties: Trends among Recipients of College Degrees in the 1980s.” Sociology of Education 68:81-98. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Julian, Tiffany . 2012. “Work-life Earnings by Field of Degree and Occupation for People with a Bachelor’s Degree: 2011.” American Community Survey Briefs 11-04. Available at http://www.census.gov/prod/2012pubs/acsbr11-04.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
Julian, Tiffany, Kominski, Robert. 2011. Education and Synthetic Work-life Earnings Estimates. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce. Google Scholar | |
|
Kantrowitz, Mark . 2007. “The Financial Value of a Higher Education.” NASFAA Journal of Student Financial Aid 37:19-27. Google Scholar | |
|
Kim, ChangHwan, Sakamoto, Arthur. 2008. “The Rise of Intra-occupational Wage Inequality in the United States, 1983 to 2002.” American Sociological Review 73:129-57. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Kim, ChangHwan, Tamborini, Christopher R. 2014. “Response Error in Earnings: An Analysis of the Survey of Income and Program Participation Matched with Administrative Data.” Sociological Methods and Research 43:39-72. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Ma, Yingyi, Savas, Gokhan. 2014. “Which Is More Consequential: Fields of Study of Institutional Selectivity?” Review of Higher Education 37:221-47. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Manning, Willard G. 1998. “The Logged Dependent Variable, Heteroscedasticity, and the Retransformation Problem.” Journal of Health Economics 17:283-95. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | ISI | |
|
Mare, Robert D. 1980. “Social Background and School Continuation Decisions.” Journal of American Statistical Association 75:295-305. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
McNabb, J., Timmons, D., Song, J., Puckett, C. 2009. “Uses of Administrative Data at the Social Security Administration.” Social Security Bulletin 69:75-84. Google Scholar | Medline | |
|
Mitchell, Josh . 2014. “Educational Attainment and Earnings Inequality among US-born Men.” Urban Institute, Washington, D.C. Available at http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/413092-Educational-Attainment-and-Earnings-Inequality-among-US-Born-Men.pdf. Google Scholar | |
|
Moffitt, Robert, Gottschalk, Peter. 2011. “Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004.” NBER Working Paper 16833. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau for Economic Research. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Morgan, Laurie A. 2008. “Major Matters: A Comparison of the Within-major Gender Pay Gap across College Majors for Early-career Graduates.” Industrial Relations 47:625-50. Google Scholar | |
|
Morgan, Stephen L., Leenman, Theodore S., Todd, Jennifer J., Weeden, Kim A. 2013. “Occupational Plans, Beliefs about Educational Requirements, and Patterns of College Entry.” Sociology of Education 88:197-217. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
National Center for Education Statistics . 1997. “Public and Private High Schools: How Do They Differ?” NCES 97-983. Available at http://nces.ed.gov/pubs97/97983.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
National Center for Education Statistics . 2012. “Tuition Costs of Colleges and Universities.” Available at http://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=76 Google Scholar | |
|
National Center for Education Statistics . 2013. “Digest of Education Statistics, 2013.” Available at https://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch/pubsinfo.asp?pubid=2015011 Google Scholar | |
|
Oreopoulos, Philip, Petronijevic, Uros. 2013. “Making College Worth It: A Review of the Returns to Higher Education.” Future of Children 23:41-65. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Oreopoulos, Philip, Salvanes, Kjell G. 2011. “Priceless: The Nonpecuniary Benefits of Schooling.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 25:159-84. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Ramirez, Francisco O., Wotipka, Christine Min. 2001. “Slowly but Surely? The Global Expansion of Women’s Participation in Science and Engineering Fields of Study, 1972-92.” Sociology of Education 74:231-51. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Reardon, Sean F. 2011. “The Widening Academic Achievement Gap between the Rich and the Poor: New Evidence and Possible Explanations.” Pp. 91-116 in Whither Opportunity? Rising Inequality, Schools, and Children’s Life Chances, edited by Duncan, G. J., Murnane, R. J. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Google Scholar | |
|
Reed, Ritchie H., Miller, Herman P. 1970. “Some Determinants of the Variation in Earnings for College Men.” Journal of Human Resources 5:177-90. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Reimer, David, Noelke, Clemens, Kucel, Aleksander. 2008. “Labor Market Effects of Field of Study in Comparative Perspective: An Analysis of 22 European Countries.” International Journal of Comparative Sociology 49:233-56. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
Reynolds, John R., Stewart, Michael, MacDonald, Ryan, Sischo, Lacey 2006. “Have Adolescents Become Too Ambitious? High School Seniors’ Educational and Occupational Plans, 1976 to 2000.” Social Problems 53:186-206. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Riddell, W. Craig, Song, Xueda. 2011. “The Impact of Education on Unemployment Incidence and Re-employment Success: Evidence from the U.S. Labour Market.” Labour Economics 18:453-63. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Roksa, Josipa . 2005. “Double Disadvantage or Blessing in Disguise? Understanding the Relationship between College Major and Employment Sector.” Sociology of Education 78:207-32. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Roksa, Josipa, Levey, Tania. 2010. “What Can You Do with That Degree? College Major and Occupational Status of College Graduates over Time.” Social Forces 89:389-415. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Ruel, Erin, Hauser, Robert M. 2013. “Explaining the Gender Wealth Gap.” Demography 50:1155-76. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Rumberger, Russell W., Thomas, Scott L. 1993. “The Economic Return to College Major, Quality and Performance: A Multilevel Analysis of Recent Graduates.” Economics of Education Review 12:1-19. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Sakamoto, Arthur, Goyette, Kimberly A., Kim, ChangHwan. 2009. “Socioeconomic Attainments of Asian Americans.” Annual Review of Sociology 35:255-76. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Sampson, Robert J., Laub, John H. 1992. “Crime and Deviance in the Life Course.” Annual Review of Sociology 18:63-84. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Sawhill, Isabel V. 2014. Generation Unbound. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Shauman, Kimberlee A. 2006. “Occupational Sex Segregation and the Earnings of Occupations: What Causes the Link among College-educated Workers.” Social Science Research 35:577-619. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Song, Chunyan, Glick, Jennifer E. 2004. “College Attendance and Choice of College Majors among Asian-American Students.” Social Science Quarterly 85:1401-21. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Sum, Andrew, Khatiwada, Ishwar. 2010. “The Nation’s Underemployed in the ‘Great Recession’ of 2007-09.” Monthly Labor Review 11:3-15. Google Scholar | |
|
Tamborini, Christopher R., Iams, Howard M. 2011. “Are Generation X’ers Different than Late Boomers? Family and Earnings Trends among Recent Cohorts of Women at Young Adulthood.” Population Research and Policy Review 30:59-79. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Tamborini, Christopher R., Kim, ChangHwan, Sakamoto, Arthur. 2015. “Education and Lifetime Earnings in the US.” Demography 52:1383-1407. Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | |
|
Thomas, Scott L. 2000. “Deferred Costs and Economic Returns to College Major, Quality and Performance.” Research in Higher Education 41:281-313. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Turner, Sarah E., Bowen, William G. 1999. “Choice of Major: The Changing (Unchanging) Gender Gap.” Industrial and Labor Relations Review 52:289-313. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | |
|
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . 2014. “Women in the Labor Force: A Databook.” Report-1049. Available at http://www.bls.gov/opub/reports/cps/womenlaborforce_2013.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
Waldron, Hilary . 2013. “Mortality Differentials by Lifetime Earnings Decile: Implications for Evaluations of Proposed Social Security Law Changes.” Social Security Bulletin 73:1-37. Google Scholar | Medline | |
|
Warren, John Robert, Hauser, Robert M., Sheridan, Jennifer T. 2002. “Occupational Stratification across the Life Course: Evidence from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study.” American Sociological Review 67:432-55. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Weber, M. [1922] 1978. Economy and Society, edited by Roth, G., Wittich, C. Berkeley: University of California Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Weeden, Kim A. 2002. “Why Do Some Occupations Pay More than Others? Social Closure and Earnings Inequality in the United States.” American Journal of Sociology 108:55-101. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Wilkinson, Bruce W. 1966. “Present Value of Lifetime Earnings for Different Occupations.” Journal of Political Economy 74:556-72. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Zhang, Liang . 2005. “Advance to Graduate Education: The Effect of College Quality and Undergraduate Majors.” Review of Higher Education 28:313-38. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI |
