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First published January 1996

Dynamic Estimation and Prediction of Freeway O-D Matrices with Route Switching Considerations and Time-Dependent Model Parameters

Abstract

An enhanced Kalman Filtering algorithm for the dynamic estimation and prediction of freeway origin-and-destination (O-D) matrices is presented. The effects of traffic congestion and traffic diversion information on the O-D distribution pattern are explicitly captured through a behavioral model of route switching. Moreover, in view of the time-varying nature of traffic variables, the proposed algorithm updates the model parameters by using on-line traffic measurements. Preliminary simulation results demonstrate the importance of using time-dependent model parameters and accounting for the effect of traffic information in the estimation and prediction of dynamic freeway O-D demands.

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Article first published: January 1996
Issue published: January 1996

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© 1996 National Academy of Sciences.
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Authors

Affiliations

Samer M. Madanat
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, McLaughlin Hall, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, Calif. 94720.
Shou-Ren Hu
School of Civil Engineering; Purdue University, 1284 Civil Engineering Building, West Lafayette, Ind. 47907.
James V. Krogmeier
School of Electrical and Computer Engineering; Purdue University, 1284 Civil Engineering Building, West Lafayette, Ind. 47907.

Notes

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Transportation Supply Analysis.

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