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First published online January 1, 2009

Free Trade Agreement Effects in the Mediterranean Region: An Analytic Approach Based on SURE Gravity Model

Abstract

Free trade agreements (FTAs) are tools that have been widely implemented for enhancing trade between countries. As a result, various models have been developed in an effort to explain the effects of these agreements on trade. The objective of this study is to develop a model suitable for exploring FTA effects on trade flows in the Mediterranean region. For that purpose a model is developed for analyzing trade flows based on the family of gravity models; the model parameters are estimated by using the seemingly unrelated regression estimation approach, in an effort to account for cross-sectional heterogeneity, serial correlation, and heteroscedasticity in the data set used. Results of the derived models are discussed and indicate that FTA effects on trade flows do exist but remain relatively low compared with other factors such as transportation costs.

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Article first published online: January 1, 2009
Issue published: January 2009

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Authors

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Konstantinos Kepaptsoglou
Department of Transportation Planning and Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 5, Iroon Polytechniou str, 15773, Zografou Campus, Athens, Greece.
Dimitrios Tsamboulas
Department of Transportation Planning and Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 5, Iroon Polytechniou str, 15773, Zografou Campus, Athens, Greece.
Matthew G. Karlaftis
Department of Transportation Planning and Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 5, Iroon Polytechniou str, 15773, Zografou Campus, Athens, Greece.
Vittorio Marzano
Dipartamento di Ingegneria dei Transporti, University degli studi di Napoli “Federico II,” Via Claudio 21, 80125, Naples, Italy.

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