Tipping points in Dutch big city neighbourhoods

First Published March 1, 2017 Research Article
First Published Online: March 1, 2017

Micro-level studies using individual and household data have shown that residential location choices are influenced by neighbourhood ethnic composition. Using three conurbation samples in the Netherlands – Amsterdam metropolitan area, Rotterdam-The Hague metropolitan area and the country’s largest conurbation, the ‘Randstad’ urban agglomeration – this paper analyses the evolution of neighbourhood ethnic composition as a social interaction outcome of disaggregated household behaviour. The potential ‘tipping point’ in neighbourhood ethnic composition, beyond which ‘white flight’ (or the departure of native or advantaged households) occurs, is tested. The share in neighbourhood population of native Dutch and Western minority did not exhibit the hypothesised ‘tipping’ behaviour in its growth rate with respect to initial share of non-Western minority. This paper argues that the large social housing sector, centralised tax regime, and strong regulatory role of the state in housing and urban planning, are the main explanatory factors for the relative constancy in Dutch neighbourhood ethnic composition.

Aalbers, MB (2005) Place-based social exclusion: Redlining in the Netherlands. Area 37(1): 100109.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Aalbers, MB, van Beckhoven, E, van Kempen, R. (2004) Large Housing Estates in the Netherlands: Policies and Practices. Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Urban and Regional Research Centre, Utrecht.
Google Scholar
Alba, RD, Logan, JR, Stults, BJ. (1999) Immigrant groups in the suburbs: A reexamination of suburbanization and spatial assimilation. American Sociological Review 64(3): 446460.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Alders, M (2001) Classification of the population with a foreign background in the Netherlands. The Measure and Mismeasure of the Populations. The Statistical Use of Ethnic and Racial Categories in Multicultural Societies. Available at: http://www.cbs.nl/nr/rdonlyres/d314ba81-b4a9-492f-8c9b-b50e7d3a3e5d/0/classificationforeign.pdf.
Google Scholar
Bajari, P, Kahn, ME (2005) Estimating housing demand with an application to explaining racial segregation in cities. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 23(1): 1933.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Bayer, P, Ferreira, F, McMillan, R (2004) Tiebout sorting, social multipliers and the demand for school quality. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper Series, No. 10871.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Bolt, G, van Kempen, R, van Ham, M (2008) Minority ethnic groups in the Dutch housing market: Spatial segregation, relocation dynamics and housing policy. Urban Studies 45(7): 1359.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Bonjour, S (2008) Family migration policies in the Netherlands. New Orientations for Democracy in Europe (NODE) Policy Report. Vienna: International Centre for Migration Policy Development (ICMPD)/Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft und Forschung (BMWF). Available at: http://research.icmpd.org/fileadmin/Research-Website/Project_material/NODE/Family_Migration_Pol_NL_final_01.pdf.
Google Scholar
Bontje, M, Latten, J (2005) Stable size, changing composition: Recent migration dynamics of the Dutch large cities. Tijdschrift Voor Economische En Sociale Geografie 96(4): 444451.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Boustan, LP (2010) Was postwar suburbanization ‘white flight’? Evidence from the black migration. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 125(1): 417443.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Bråmå, Å (2006) ‘White flight’? The production and reproduction of immigrant concentration areas in Swedish cities, 1990–2000. Urban Studies 43(7): 11271146.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Burgers, J, van der Lugt, H (2006) Spatial assimilation of minority groups. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment 21(2): 127139.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Card, D, Mas, A, Rothstein, J (2006) Tipping and the dynamics of segregation in neighbourhoods and schools. Princeton University Industrial Relations Section Working Paper, no. 515. Available at: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01kk91fk532.
Google Scholar
Card, D, Mas, A, Rothstein, J (2008a) Are mixed neighborhoods always unstable? Two-sided and one-sided tipping. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper Series, No. 14470.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Card, D, Mas, A, Rothstein, J (2008b) Tipping and the dynamics of segregation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 123(1): 177218.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS) (2010) Bevolking En Huishoudens; Viercijferige Postcode. Available at: http://statline.cbs.nl/.
Google Scholar
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS) (2013a) Statline: Kerncijfers Wijken En Buurten 1995–2012. Available at: http://www.cbs.nl/nl-NL/menu/themas/dossiers/nederland-regionaal/cijfers/incidenteel/maatwerk/wijk-buurtstatistieken/.
Google Scholar
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS) (2013b) Toelichting: Kerncijfers Wijken En Buurten, 2003 En 2004–2010. Available at: http://download.cbs.nl/regionale-kaarten/toelichting-variabelen-kwb-2003-2012-versie-2014-12-10.pdf.
Google Scholar
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek (CBS) (2014) Statline: Allochtonen/herkomstgroepering Vanaf 1972. Available at: http://statline.cbs.nl/.
Google Scholar
Chetty, R, Hendren, N, Katz, LF (2015) The effects of exposure to better neighborhoods on children: New evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment. Harvard University Working Paper, May.
Google Scholar
Coleman, JS, Kelly, SD, Moore, JA (1975) Trends in School Segregation, 1968–1973. Washington, DC: Urban Institute.
Google Scholar
Dieleman, FM, Wallet, C (2003) Income differences between central cities and suburbs in Dutch urban regions. Tijdschrift Voor Economische En Sociale Geografie 94(2): 265275.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Dieleman, FM, Dijst, MJ, Spit, T (1999) Planning the compact city: The Randstad Holland experience. European Planning Studies 7(5): 605621.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Durlauf, SN (2004) Neighborhood effects. In: Henderson, VJ, Thisse, J-F (eds) Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics. Volume 4. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 21732242.
Google Scholar
Ellen, IG (2000) Sharing America’s Neighborhoods: The Prospects for Stable Racial Integration. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Google Scholar
Farley, R, Schuman, H, Bianchi, S. (1978) Chocolate city, vanilla suburbs: Will the trend toward racially separate communities continue?Social Science Research 7(4): 319344.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Feijten, P, van Ham, M (2009) Neighbourhood change … Reason to leave?Urban Studies 46(10): 21032122.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Fotheringham, AS, Wong, DWS (1991) The modifiable areal unit problem in multivariate statistical analysis. Environment and Planning A 23(7): 10251044.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Galster, GC (1990a) Neighborhood racial change, segregationist sentiments, and affirmative marketing policies. Journal of Urban Economics 27(3): 344361.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Galster, GC (1990b) White flight from racially integrated neighbourhoods in the 1970s: The Cleveland experience. Urban Studies 27(3): 385399.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Galster, GC, Quercia, RG, Cortes, A (2000) Identifying neighborhood thresholds: An empirical exploration. Housing Policy Debate 11(3): 701732.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Gijsberts, M, Dagevos, J (2007) The socio-cultural integration of ethnic minorities in the Netherlands: Identifying neighbourhood effects on multiple integration outcomes. Housing Studies 22(5): 805831.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Goering, JM (1978) Neighborhood tipping and racial transition: A review of social science evidence. Journal of the American Institute of Planners 44(1): 6878.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Grodzins, M (1958) The Metropolitan Area as a Racial Problem. Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pittsburgh Press.
Google Scholar
Guo, JY, Bhat, CR (2007) Operationalizing the concept of neighborhood: Application to residential location choice analysis. Journal of Transport Geography 15(1): 3145.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Hendriks, F (2006) Shifts in governance in a polycentric urban region: The case of the Dutch Randstad. International Journal of Public Administration 29(10–11): 931951.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Hooghiemstra, E (2003) Trouwen over de Grens. Achtergronden van Partnerkeuze van Turken En Marokkanen in Nederland. Den Haag: Sociaal Cultureel Planbureau.
Google Scholar
Jencks, C, Mayer, SE (1990) The social consequences of growing up in a poor neighborhood. In: Lynn, LE, McGeary, MGH (eds) Inner-City Poverty in the United States. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, pp. 111186.
Google Scholar
Kesteloot, C, Cortie, C (1998) Housing Turks and Moroccans in Brussels and Amsterdam: The difference between private and public markets. Urban Studies 35(10): 18351853.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Kling, JR, Ludwig, J, Katz, LF (2005) Neighborhood effects on crime for female and male youth: Evidence from a randomized housing voucher experiment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 120(1): 87130.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Kruythoff, H (2003) Dutch urban restructuring policy in action against socio-spatial segregation: Sense or nonsense?European Journal of Housing Policy 3: 193215.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Ladd, HF, Fiske, EB (2009) Weighted student funding for primary schools: An analysis of the Dutch experience. Duke Sanford School of Public Policy Working Paper Series, no. SAN09–02.
Google Scholar
Ludwig, J, Duncan, GJ, Gennetian, LA. (2013) Long-term neighborhood effects on low-income families: Evidence from Moving to Opportunity. The American Economic Review 103(3): 226231.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Massey, DS (1981) Dimensions of the new immigration to the United States and the prospects for assimilation. Annual Review of Sociology 7: 5785.
Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | ISI
Massey, DS, Denton, NA (1993) American Apartheid: Segregation and the Making of the Underclass. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Google Scholar
Metropoolregio Amsterdam (2012) Metropoolregio Amsterdam – Achtergrond. Available at: http://www.metropoolregioamsterdam.nl/achtergrond.html (accessed 30 May).
Google Scholar
Metropoolregio Rotterdam Den Haag (2013) Metropoolregio Rotterdam Den Haag. Available at: http://mrdh.nl/.
Google Scholar
Milieuhulp (2014) Randstad. Available at: http://www.milieuhulp.nl/wiki/index.php/Locatie:Randstad#tab=Intro (accessed 9 January).
Google Scholar
Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM) (1996) De Gedifferentieerde Stad: Gezamenlijke Rapportage van de Vier Grote Steden En Het Rijk. Zoetermeer: Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM).
Google Scholar
Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM) (1997) Nota Stedelijke Vernieuwing. Den Haag: Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM).
Google Scholar
Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM) (2007a) VROM International: Netherlands Ministry of Housing, Social Planning and the Environment. Available at: http://international.vrom.nl/pagina.html?id=7557.
Google Scholar
Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM) (2007b) Actieplan Krachtwijken: Van Aandachtswijk Naar Krachtwijk. Den Haag: Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM).
Google Scholar
Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM) (2006) WoonOnderzoek Nederland (WoON). Available at: http://easy.dans.knaw.nl/.
Google Scholar
Mocetti, S, Porello, C (2010) How does immigration affect native internal mobility? New evidence from Italy. Regional Science and Urban Economics 40(6): 427439.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Musterd, S (2005) Social and ethnic segregation in Europe: Levels, causes and effects. Journal of Urban Affairs 27(3): 331348.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Musterd, S, Deurloo, R (2002) Unstable immigrant concentrations in Amsterdam: Spatial segregation and integration of newcomers. Housing Studies 17(3): 487503.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Musterd, S, De Vos, S (2007) Residential dynamics in ethnic concentrations. Housing Studies 22(3): 333353.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Musterd, S, Ostendorf, W (2008) Integrated urban renewal in the Netherlands: A critical appraisal. Urban Research & Practice 1(1): 7892.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Ong, CB, De Witte, K (2013) Ethnic segregation and heterogeneous preferences of homeowners for housing and neighbourhood characteristics. Evidence from the Netherlands. UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series, no. 2013–061.
Google Scholar
Overman, HG (2002) Neighbourhood effects in large and small neighbourhoods. Urban Studies 39(1): 117130.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Permentier, M, Kullberg, J, van Noije, L (2013) Werk Aan de Wijk. Een Quasi-Experimentele Evaluatie van Het Krachtwijkenbeleid. Den Haag: Sociaal en Cultureel Planningbureau (SCP).
Google Scholar
Phillips, D (2007) Ethnic and racial segregation: A critical perspective. Geography Compass 1(5): 11381159.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Rathelot, R, Safi, M (2013) Local ethnic composition and natives’ and immigrants’ geographic mobility in France, 1982–1999. American Sociological Review 79(1): 4364.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Rijksoverheid (2014) Wat Is Huurtoeslag? Available at: http://www.rijksoverheid.nl/onderwerpen/huurtoeslag/vraag-en-antwoord/wat-is-huurtoeslag.html.
Google Scholar
Sager, L (2012) Residential segregation and socioeconomic neighbourhood sorting: Evidence at the micro-neighbourhood level for migrant groups in Germany. Urban Studies 49(12): 26172632.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Saltman, J (1979) Housing discrimination: Policy research, methods and results. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 441(1): 186196.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Saltman, J (1991) Maintaining racially diverse neighborhoods. Urban Affairs Review 26(3): 416441.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Sampson, RJ, Morenoff, JD, Gannon-Rowley, T (2002) Assessing ‘neighborhood effects’: Social processes and new directions in research. Annual Review of Sociology 28(January): 443478.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Schelling, TC (1971) Dynamic models of segregation. Journal of Mathematical Sociology 1: 143186.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Schwab, WA, Marsh, E (1980) The tipping-point model: Prediction of change in the racial composition of Cleveland, Ohio, neighborhoods, 1940–1970. Environment and Planning A 12(4): 385398.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Tiebout, CM (1956) A pure theory of local expenditures. Journal of Political Economy 64(5): 416.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Tweede Kamer (1990) Vierde Nota over de Ruimtelijke Ordening Extra. Handelingen van de Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal TK 1990–1991, 21879, nrs. 1–2. ‘s-Gravenhage: Sdu Uitgevers.
Google Scholar
Tweede Kamer (2004) Wijziging van de Vreemdelingenwet 2000 in Verband Met Het Stellen van Een Inburgeringsvereiste Bij Het Toelaten van Bepaalde Categorieën Vreemdelingen (Wet Inburgering in Het Buitenland). Memorie van toelichting TK 2003–2004, 29700, nr. 3. ‘s-Gravenhage: Sdu Uitgevers.
Google Scholar
Van Der Burg, AJ, Dieleman, F (2004) Dutch urbanisation policies: From ‘compact city’ to ‘urban network.’Tijdschrift Voor Economische En Sociale Geografie 95(1): 108116.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Van der Laan Bouma-Doff, W (2007) Involuntary isolation: Ethnic preferences and residential segregation. Journal of Urban Affairs 29(3): 289309.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Van Gent, WPC, Musterd, S, Ostendorf, W (2009) Bridging the social divide? Reflections on current Dutch neighbourhood policy. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment 24(3): 357368.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Van Ham, M, Feijten, P (2008) Who wants to leave the neighbourhood? The effect of being different from the neighbourhood population on wishes to move. Environment and Planning A 40: 11511170.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Van Kempen, R, Priemus, H (2002) Revolution in social housing in the Netherlands: Possible effects of new housing policies. Urban Studies 39(2): 237253.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Verdugo, G (2011) Public housing and residential segregation of immigrants in France, 1968–1999. IZA Discussion Paper Series, No. 5456 (January). Available at: http://ftp.iza.org/dp5456.pdf.
Google Scholar
Vermeulen, W, Rouwendal, J (2007) Housing supply and land use regulation in the Netherlands. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, No. 07–058/3.
Google Scholar
VROM-raad (2001) Grotestedenbeleid, Voortzetten En Verbouwen: Advies over Grotestedenbeleid. Advies 030. Den Haag: Ministerie van Volkshuisvesting, Ruimtelijke Ordening en Milieubeheer (VROM).
Google Scholar
Wilson, WJ (1987) The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass, and Public Policy. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
Google Scholar
Zorlu, A (2009) Who leaves the city? The influence of ethnic segregation and family ties. Population, Space and Place 15(4): 323342.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Zorlu, A, Latten, J (2009) Ethnic sorting in the Netherlands. Urban Studies 46(9): 1899.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Zorlu, A, Mulder, CH (2008) Initial and subsequent location choices of immigrants to the Netherlands. Regional Studies 42(2): 245264.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI

Access content

To read the fulltext, please use one of the options below to sign in or purchase access.
  • Access Options

    My Account

    Welcome
    You do not have access to this content.

    Chinese Institutions / 中国用户

    Click the button below for the full-text content

    请点击以下获取该全文

    Institutional Login

    Purchase Content

    24 hours online access to download content

    Added to Cart

    Cart is full

    There is currently no price available for this item in your region.

    Research off-campus without worrying about access issues. Find out about Lean Library here


Purchase

USJ-article-ppv for GBP29.00
USJ-article-ppv for $37.50