Abstract
The loss of manufacturing jobs in the United States has been widely noted in the popular press as well as in public policy debate. We examine several of the most prominently made assertions about manufacturing decline and its consequences for deindustrializing metropolitan areas and find not all of them supported by the data. In particular, we find that, given their industrial structure some of these areas performed better than expected, that long-term economic distress was not inevitable, that manufacturing remains an important component in many metropolitan area economies, and that much of the growth in the service sector is based upon or complementary to the existence of manufacturing. We also find that low growth in these deindustrialized areas was due more to these regions losing their market share of individual industries to other U.S. regions than it was to the areas having an adverse industrial structure, that economies that were more diversified in 1980 did not have greater employment growth from 1980-2011 than those that were less diverse, and that declines in manufacturing did result in a movement of jobs from relatively high-wage to relatively low-wage industries and thus a decline in earnings per jobs.
References
|
Bartik, T., Erickcek, G. (2007). Higher education, the health care industry, and metropolitan regional economic development: What can “Eds & Meds” do for the economic fortunes of a metro area’s residents? (Working Paper 08-140). Kalamzoo, MI: Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. Google Scholar | |
|
Blumenthal, P., Wolman, H., Hill, E. (2009). Understanding the economic performance of metropolitan areas in the United States. Urban Studies, 46(3), 605–627. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Clark, J., Clavel, P. (2012). Introduction to the special issue on manufacturing. Progressive Planning (Report No. 190). Retrieved March 12, 2014, from http://www.plannersnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/PNmag_W12_Intro.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
Dey, M., Houseman, S., Polivka, A. (2006). Manufacturers’ outsourcing to employment services (Working Paper 07-132). Kalamazoo, MI: Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Drennan, M. (2002). The information economy and American cities. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Erickcek, G., McKinney, H. (2006). Small city blues: Looking for growth factors in small and medium-sized cities. Economic Development Quarterly, 20, 232–258. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Evanoff, T. (2009, March 25). Indiana incomes: We’re stuck. Indianapolis Star, p. A1. Google Scholar | |
|
Fisman, Ray. (2012, July). The new artisan economy. Slate. Retrieved February 24, 2014, from http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_dismal_science/2012/07/unemployment_manufacturing_and_construction_jobs_aren_t_coming_back_americans_need_new_skills_.html Google Scholar | |
|
Florida, R. (2012, May 11). The Midwest’s manufacturing conundrum. The Atlantic. Retrieved February 24, 2014, from http://www.theatlanticcities.com/jobs-and-economy/2012/05/midwests-manufacturing-conundrum/1920/ Google Scholar | |
|
Glaeser, E. L. (2009). The reinventive city. City Journal. Retrieved May 15, 2013, from http://www.city-journal.Org/2009/nytom_reinventive-city.html Google Scholar | |
|
Glaeser, E. L., Kallal, H. D., Scheinkman, J. A., Shleifer, A. (1992). Growth in cities. Journal of Political Economy, 100, 1126–1152. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Glaeser, E. L., Saiz, A. (2004). The rise of the skilled city (Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution. Google Scholar | |
|
Glaeser, E. L., Scheinkman, J. A., Shleifer, A. (1995). Economic growth in a cross-section of cities. Journal of Monetary Economics, 36, 117–143. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Glazer, L., Grimes, D. (2004) A new path to prosperity? Manufacturing and knowledge- based industries as drivers of economic growth. Ann Arbor, MI: Institute for Research on Labor, Employment, and the Economy, University of Michigan. Google Scholar | |
|
Gottlieb, P. D., Fogarty, M. (2003). Educational attainment and metropolitan growth. Economic Development Quarterly, 17, 325–336. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Harrison, B., Kelley, M., Gant, J. (1996). Specialization versus diversity in local economies: The implications for innovative private-sector behavior. Cityscape, 2, 61–93. Google Scholar | |
|
Hegelson, S. (2011, June 9). Our shrinking manufacturing sector—Part II. Retrieved March 12, 2014, from http://www.nmpolitics.net/index/2011/06/our-shrinking-manufacturing-sector-part-ii/ Google Scholar | |
|
Helper, S., Krueger, T., Wial, H. (2012). Locating American manufacturing: Trends in the geography of production. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution. Google Scholar | |
|
Henderson, V. (2003). Marshall’s scale economies. Journal of Urban Economics, 53, 1–28. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Henderson, V., Kuncoro, A., Turner, M. (1995). Industrial development in cities. Journal of Political Economy, 103, 1067–1090. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Jacobs, J. (1969). The economy of cities. New York, NY: Vintage. Google Scholar | |
|
Kletzer, L. (2000). Trade and job loss in U.S. manufacturing, 1979-1994. In Feenstra, R. (Ed.), The impact of international trade on wages (pp. 349–396). Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Klier, T., Rubenstein, J. (2008). Who really made your car? (Working Paper). Kalamazoo, MI: Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Koenig, B. (2009, April 3). Detroit forgets auto misery to root for Michigan State victory. Bloomberg. Retrieved December 12, 2013, from http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=atWfH.m_L6a4 Google Scholar | |
|
Levett, A., Dwyer, T. (1994). Re-thinking employment and unemployment. Geographer, 50(1), 40–45. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Longworth, R. C. (2010, April 19). Thinking about cities. The Midwesterner. Retrieved May 15, 2013, from http://globalmidwest.typepad.com/globalmidwest/2010/04/thinking-about-cities.html#more Google Scholar | |
|
Maciag, M. (2013, April). How smaller cities hold onto major employers. Governing. Retrieved February 24, 2014, from http://www.governing.com/topics/economic-dev/gov-company-towns-face-tough-decisions.html Google Scholar | |
|
Malpezzi, S. (2001). What do we know about economic development? What does it mean for Wisconsin’s state and local governments? (Working Paper, Background Report for the Wisconsin Commission on State and Local Partnerships). Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin, Center for Urban Land Economics. Google Scholar | |
|
Markusen, A. (1985). Profit cycles, oligopoly, and regional development. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Google Scholar | |
|
McCoy, B. (2009, April 4). The big-three automakers: Echoes from the past. JournalCetera. Retrieved May 15, 2013, from http://barneymccoy.wordpress.com/2009/04/04/the-big-three-automakers-echoes-from-the-past/ Google Scholar | |
|
Perry, M. (2011, February 15). The truth about U.S. manufacturing. Wall Street Journal. Retrieved March 12, 2014, from http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748703652104576122353274221570 Google Scholar | |
|
Ratcliffe, D. (2009, July 19). Atlanta must hone its efforts to recover. Atlanta Journal Constitution, p. 17-A. Google Scholar | |
|
Reich, R. B. (2009, May 28). Manufacturing jobs are never coming back. Forbes.com. Retrieved May 15, 2013, from www.forbes.com/2009/05/28/obert-reich-manufacturing-business-economy.html Google Scholar | |
|
Shone, B. (2009). Essays on property tax limitation mechanisms. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Google Scholar | |
|
Simon, C. J. (1998). Human capital and metropolitan employment growth. Journal of Urban Economics, 43, 223–243. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Stewart, H. (2010, February 28). US manufacturing is not dead. Retrieved March 12, 2014, from http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/02/us-manufacturing-is-not-dead.html Google Scholar | |
|
Ward, R., Dadayan, L. (2010). Twenty first century manufacturing: A foundation of New York’s economy (Manufacturing Research Institute of New York State Report). Retrieved March 12, 2014, from http://www.rockinst.org/pdf/economic_development/2010-09-Manufacturing_Report.pdf Google Scholar | |
|
Weissbourd, R., Berry, C. (2004). The changing dynamics of urban America. Chicago, IL: CEOs for Cities. Google Scholar | |
|
Wial, H., Friedhoff, A., Wolman, H. (2010). The consequences of metropolitan manufacturing decline. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution. Google Scholar | |
|
Wolfson, J., Frisken, F. (2002). Local response to the global challenge: Comparing local economic development policies in a regional context. Journal of Urban Affairs, 22(4), 361–384. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI |

