Abstract
When does Congress repeal laws enacted by prior generations? Although the substantial body of work on policy creation provides tentative explanations, we believe repeals represent an alternative way of examining the effects of congressional organization on legislative behavior. In this paper, we develop hypotheses based on both the conditional nature of party power and the location of pivot points, and test these hypotheses with a new data set of repeals from 1877 to 2012. We find that the largest effects on Congress’s capacity to repeal legislation are variation in the majority’s positive agenda control and shifts in the gridlock interval. We also find that when the majority claims control of both chambers after a long stretch in the minority, there is an increased likelihood of repeal beyond what is predicted by conditional party government alone. Because the partisan factors in our model have the largest substantive effects, and because repeals do not occur automatically in productive Congresses, we characterize repeals as long-term contests between two great “teams” over the location of the status quo.
References
|
Adler, E. Scott, Wilkerson, John D. 2012. Congress and the Politics of Problem Solving. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Aldrich, John H. 1995. Why Parties? The Origin and Transformation of Political Parties in America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Aldrich, John H., Berger, Mark, Rohde, David. 2002. “The Historical Variability in Conditional Party Government, 1877-1986.” In Party, Process, and Political Change in Congress, edited by Brady, David W., McCubbins, Mathew D., 17–35. Stanford: Stanford University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Aldrich, John H., Rohde, David W. 1997. “The Transition to Republican Rule in the House: Implications for Theories of Congressional Politics.” Political Science Quarterly 112 (4): 541–67. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Aldrich, John H., Rohde, David W. 2001. “The Logic of Conditional Party Government: Revisiting the Electoral Connection.” In Congress Reconsidered, edited by Dodd, Lawrence, Oppenheimer, Bruce, 7th ed., 269–92. Washington, DC: CQ Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Barnes, Tiffany, O’Neill, Timothy. 2006. “Learning to Govern: The Texas Experience.” The Journal of Political Science 34 (1): 1–36. Google Scholar | |
|
Battista, James Coleman . 2009. “Why Information? Choosing Committee Informativeness in US State Legislatures.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 34 (3): 375–97. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Baumgartner, Frank R., Jones, Bryan D. 1993. Agendas and Instability in American Politics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Berry, Christopher R., Burden, Barry C., Howell, William G. 2010. “After Enactment: The Lives and Deaths of Federal Programs.” American Journal of Political Science 54 (1): 1–17. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Binder, Sarah A. 1999. “The Dynamics of Legislative Gridlock, 1947-96.” American Political Science Review 93 (3): 519–34. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Binder, Sarah A. 2003. Stalemate: Causes and Consequences of Legislative Gridlock. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Binder, Sarah A., Smith, Steven S. 1996. Politics or Principle: Filibustering in the United States Senate. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M., Reiter, Dan, Zorn, Christopher. 2003. “Non-proportional Hazards and Event History Analysis in International Relations.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 47 (1): 33–53. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Carpenter, Daniel P., Lewis, David E. 2004. “Political Learning from Rare Events: Poisson Inference, Fiscal Constraints, and the Lifetime of Bureaus.” Political Analysis 12 (3): 201–32. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Carroll, Royce, Lewis, Jeff, Lo, James, McCarty, Nolan, Poole, Keith, Rosenthal, Howard. 2015. “Common Space DW-NOMINATE Scores with Bootstrapped Standard Errors (Joint House and Senate Scaling).” http://voteview.com/dwnomin_joint_house_and_senate.htm. Google Scholar | |
|
Clinton, Joshua D., Lapinski, John S. 2006. “Measuring Legislative Accomplishment, 1877-1994.” American Journal of Political Science 50 (1): 232–49. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Corder, J. Kevin . 2004. “Are Federal Programs Immortal? Estimating the Hazard of Program Termination.” American Politics Research 32 (1): 3–25. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Cox, Gary W., McCubbins, Mathew D. 1993. Legislative Leviathan: Party Government in the House. Berkeley: University of California Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Cox, Gary W., McCubbins, Mathew D. 2005. Setting the Agenda: Responsible Party Government in the US House of Representatives. Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Cox, Gary W., McCubbins, Mathew D. 2007. Legislative Leviathan: Party Government in the House, 2nd ed. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Critchlow, Donald T., Vandermeer, Philip R. 2012. The Oxford Encyclopedia of American Political and Legal History. New York, NY: Oxford University Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Dahl, Robert A., Tufte, Edward. 1973. Size and Democracy. Stanford: Stanford University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Fenno, Richard 1997. Learning to Govern. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Finocchiaro, Charles J., Rohde, David W. 2008. “War for the Floor: Partisan Theory and Agenda Control in the US House of Representatives.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 33 (1): 35–61. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Heckman, James J. 1979. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.” Econometrica 47 (1): 153–61. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Heitshusen, Valerie, Young, Garry. 2006. “Macropolitics and Changes in the U.S. Code.” In The Macropolitics of Congress, edited by Adler, E. Scott, Lapinski, John S., 129–50. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Howell, William, Adler, Scott, Cameron, Charles, Riemann, Charles. 2000. “Divided Government and the Legislative Productivity of Congress, 1945-94.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 25 (2): 285–312. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Kaufman, Herbert . 1976. Are Government Programs Immortal? Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Krehbiel, Keith . 1992. Information and Legislative Organization. Ann Arbor: Michigan University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Krehbiel, Keith . 1998. Pivotal Politics: A Theory of U.S. Lawmaking. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Landsberg, Brian K. 2004. Major Acts of Congress. New York, NY: Macmillan Reference USA. Google Scholar | |
|
Lebo, Matthew J., O’Geen, Andrew. 2011. “The President’s Role in the Partisan Congressional Arena.” Journal of Politics 73 (3): 718–34. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Lewis, David E. 2002. “The Politics of Agency Termination: Confronting the Myth of Agency Immortality.” Journal of Politics 64 (1): 89–107. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Maltzman, Forrest, Shipan, Charles R. 2008. “Change, Continuity, and the Evolution of the Law.” American Journal of Political Science 52 (2): 252–67. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Mayhew, David R. 1991. Divided We Govern: Party Control, Lawmaking, and Investigations, 1946-1990. New Haven: Yale University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Mayhew, David R. 2005. Divided We Govern: Party control, Lawmaking, and Investigations, 1946-2002. New Haven: Yale University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
McCarty, Nolan, Poole, Keith T., Rosenthal, Howard. 2006. Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches. Vol. 5. Cambridge: MIT Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Miller, Susan M., Overby, L. Marvin. 2014. “Discharge Petitions and the Conditional Nature of Agenda Control in the U.S. House of Representatives.” Party Politics 20 (3): 444–55. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Patashnik, Eric M. 2008. Reforms at Risk: What Happens after Major Policy Changes Are Enacted. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Google Scholar | |
|
Pierson, Paul . 1996. “The New Politics of the Welfare State.” World Politics 48 (2): 143–79. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Ragusa, Jordan Michael . 2010. “The Lifecycle of Public Policy: An Event History Analysis of Repeals to Landmark Legislative Enactments, 1951-2006.” American Politics Research 38 (6): 1015–51. Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI | |
|
Rohde, David W. 1991. Parties and Leaders in the Post-reform House. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Rohde, David W., Stiglitz, Edward H., Weingast, Barry R. 2013. “Dynamic Theory of Congressional Organization.” Unpublished manuscript. Google Scholar | |
|
Schickler, Eric, Pearson, Kathryn. 2009. “Agenda Control, Majority Party Power, and the House Committee on Rules, 1937–52.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 34 (4): 455–91. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Stathis, Stephen W. 2014. Landmark Legislation, 1774-2012: Major Acts and Treaties. Washington, DC: CQ Press. Google Scholar | Crossref | |
|
Gibson, Cary . (2015, February 10) “Forget About Repealing Obamacare” U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved from http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/opinion-blog/2015/02/10/gop-must-move-on-from-obamacare-repeal Google Scholar | |
|
Walker, Jack . 1977. “Setting the Agenda in the US Senate.” British Journal of Political Science 7 (4): 423–45. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI | |
|
Woon, Jonathan . 2009. “Change We Can Believe In? Using Political Science to Predict Policy Change in the Obama Presidency.” PS: Political Science & Politics 42 (2): 329–33. Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI |

