This article documents the diversity of political attitudes and voting patterns along the urban-rural continuum of the United States. We find that America’s rural and urban interface, in terms of political attitudes and voting patterns, is just beyond the outer edges of large urban areas and through the suburban counties of smaller metropolitan areas. Both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton performed well in densely populated areas on the urban side of the interface, but they faced increasingly difficult political climates and sharply diminished voter support on the rural side of the interface. The reduction in support for Clinton in 2016 in rural areas was particularly pronounced. Even after controlling for demographic, social, and economic factors (including geographic region, education, income, age, race, and religious affiliation) in a spatial regression, we find that a county’s position in the urban-rural continuum remained statistically significant in the estimation of voting patterns in presidential elections.

Abrajano, Marisa, Burnett, Craig M. 2012. Polls and elections: Do blacks and whites see Obama through race-tinted glasses? A comparison of Obama’s and Clinton’s approval ratings. Presidential Studies Quarterly 42 (2): 36375.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Abrams, Samuel J., Fiorina, Morris P. 2012. “The big sort” that wasn’t: A skeptical reexamination. PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (2): 20310.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Anselin, Luc . 2002. Under the hood: Issues in the specification and interpretation of spatial regression models. Agricultural Economics 27:24767.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Anselin, Luc . 2005. Exploring spatial data with GeoDa. Urbana-Champaign, IL: Spatial Analysis Lab, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois.
Google Scholar
Ansolabehere, Stephen, Schaffner, Brian. 2012. CCES Common Content, 2012. Version 5. Available from http://hdl.handle.net/1902.1/21447UNF:5:mMbfa1Vn45NxO7I6aZPicg==CCES.
Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry M. 2006. What’s the matter with What’s the matter with Kansas? Quarterly Journal of Political Science 1 (2): 20126.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Bishop, Bill, Cushing, Robert. 2008. The big sort: Why the clustering of like-minded America is tearing us apart. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin.
Google Scholar
Black, Merle . 2004. The transformation of the Southern Democratic Party. Journal of Politics 66 (4): 100117.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Buttel, Frederick, Flinn, William. 1975. Sources and consequences of agrarian values in American society. Rural Sociology 40 (2): 13451.
Google Scholar | ISI
Campbell, David E., Green, John C., Layman, Geoffrey C. 2011. The party faithful: Partisan images, candidate religion, and the electoral impact of party identification. American Journal of Political Science 55 (1): 4258.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Cho, Wendy K. T., Gimpel, James G., Dyck, Joshua J. 2006. Residential concentration, political socialization, and voter turnout. Journal of Politics 68 (1): 15667.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Cramer, Katherine J. 2016. The politics of resentment: Rural consciousness in Wisconsin and the rise of Scott Walker. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Drury, Renée, Tweeten, Luther. 1997. Have farmers lost their uniqueness? Review of Agricultural Economics 19 (1): 5890.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Finke, Roger, Scheitle, Christopher P. 2005. Accounting for the uncounted: Computing correctives for the 2000 RCMS data. Review of Religious Research 47 (1): 522.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Francia, Peter L., Baumgartner, Jody. 2005. Victim or victor of the “culture war”? How cultural issues affect support for George W. Bush in rural America. American Review of Politics 26:34967.
Google Scholar | Crossref
Frank, Thomas . 2004. What’s the matter with Kansas? How conservatives won the heart of America. New York, NY: Metropolitan Books.
Google Scholar
Frendreis, John, Tatalovich, Raymond. 2013. Secularization, modernization, or population change: Explaining the decline of Prohibition in the United States. Social Science Quarterly 94 (2): 37994.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Gimpel, James G., Dyck, Joshua, Shaw, Daron. 2004. Registrants, voters, and turnout variability across neighborhoods. Political Behavior 26 (4): 34375.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Gimpel, James G., Karnes, Kimberly A. 2006. The rural side of the urban-rural gap. PS: Political Science & Politics 39 (3): 46772.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Gimpel, James G., Schuknecht, Jason E. 2001. Interstate migration and electoral politics. Journal of Politics 63 (1): 20731.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Glenn, Norval D., Hill, Lester. 1977. Rural-urban differences in attitudes and behavior in the United States. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 429:3650.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Grammich, Clifford, Hadaway, Kirk, Houseal, Richard, Jones, Dale E., Krindatch, Alexei, Stanley, Richie, Taylor, Richard H. 2012. 2010 U.S. Religion Census: Religious congregations & membership study. Lenexa, KS: Association of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies.
Google Scholar
Hayes, Danny, McKee, Seth C. 2008. Toward a one-party South? American Politics Research 36 (1): 332.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Hui, Iris . 2013. Who is your preferred neighbor? Partisan residential preferences and neighborhood satisfaction. American Politics Research 41 (6): 9971021.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Johnson, Kenneth M. 2012. Rural demographic change in the new century: Slower growth, increased diversity. Issue Brief No. 44. Durham, NH: Carsey Institute, University of New Hampshire.
Google Scholar
Johnson, Kenneth M. 20 February 2017. Where is “rural America” and what does it look like? The Conversation. Available from https://theconversation.com.
Google Scholar
Johnson, Kenneth M., Voss, Paul R., Hammer, Roger B., Fuguitt, Glenn V., McNiven, Scott. 2005. Temporal and spatial variation in age-specific net migration in the United States. Demography 42 (4): 791812.
Google Scholar | Crossref | Medline | ISI
Johnson, Kenneth M., Winkler, Richelle L., Rogers, Luke T. 2013. Age and lifecycle patterns driving U.S. migration shifts. Carsey Institute Issue Brief 62. Durham, NH: Carsey Institute, University of New Hampshire.
Google Scholar
Knoke, David, Henry, Constance. 1977. Political structure of rural America. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 429:5162.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Kron, Josh. 30 November 2012. Red state, blue city: How the urban-rural divide is splitting America. The Atlantic. Available from www.theatlantic.com (accessed 8 December 2016).
Google Scholar
Leip, Dave . 2016. Atlas of U.S. presidential elections. Available from uselectionatlas.org.
Google Scholar
Lewis-Beck, M. 1977. Agrarian political behavior in the United States. American Journal of Political Science 21 (3): 54365.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
McDaniel, Eric L., Ellison, Christopher G. 2008. God’s party? Race, religion, and partisanship over time. Political Research Quarterly 61 (2): 18091.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
McDonald, Ian . 2011. Migration and sorting in the American electorate: Evidence from the 2006 Cooperative Congressional Election Study. American Politics Research 39 (3): 51233.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
McKee, Seth C. 2008. Rural voters and the polarization of American presidential elections. PS: Political Science & Politics 41 (1): 1018.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
McKee, Seth C., Teigen, Jeremy M. 2009. Probing the reds and blues: Sectionalism and voter location in the 2000 and 2004 U. S. presidential elections. Political Geography 28 (8): 48495.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
McVeigh, Rory, Diaz, Maria-Elena D. 2009. Voting to ban same-sex marriage: Interests, values, and communities. American Sociological Review 74:891915.
Google Scholar | SAGE Journals | ISI
Monson, Renée A., Mertens, Jo Beth. 2011. All in the family: Red states, blue states, and postmodern family patterns, 2000 and 2004. Sociological Quarterly 52 (2): 24467.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Morrill, Richard, Knopp, Larry, Brown, Michael. 2007. Anomalies in red and blue: Exceptionalism in American electoral geography. Political Geography 26 (5): 52553.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Office of Management and Budget . 2015. Revised delineations of metropolitan statistical areas, micropolitan statistical areas and combined statistical areas and guidance on uses of the delineation of these areas. OMB Bulletin 15-01. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.
Google Scholar
Pew Research Center . 2014. Political polarization in the American public: How increasing ideological uniformity and partisan antipathy affect politics, compromise and everyday life. Washington, DC: Pew Research Center. Available from pewresearch.org.
Google Scholar
Robinson, Tony, Noriega, Stephen. 2010. Voter migration as a source of electoral change in the Rocky Mountain West. Political Geography 29 (1): 2839.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Scala, Dante . 2011. Changes in New Hampshire’s Republican Party: Evolving footprint in presidential politics, 1960–2008. New England Issue Brief 30. Durham, NH: Carsey Institute, University of New Hampshire.
Google Scholar
Scala, Dante, Johnson, Kenneth M., Rogers, Luke T. 2015. Red rural, blue rural? Presidential voting patterns in a changing rural America. Political Geography 48:10818.
Google Scholar | Crossref | ISI
Sullivan, Jas M., Johnson, Melanie S. 2008. Race is on my mind: Explaining black voters’ political attraction to Barack Obama. Race, Gender & Class 15 (3–4): 5164.
Google Scholar
Tyson, Alec, Maniam., Shiva 2016. Behind Trump’s victory: Divisions by race, gender, education. Washington, DC: Pew Research Center. Available from www.pewresearch.org (accessed 6 December 2016).
Google Scholar
Access Options

My Account

Welcome
You do not have access to this content.



Chinese Institutions / 中国用户

Click the button below for the full-text content

请点击以下获取该全文

Institutional Access

does not have access to this content.

Purchase Content

24 hours online access to download content

Research off-campus without worrying about access issues. Find out about Lean Library here

Your Access Options


Purchase

ANN-article-ppv for $37.50
Single Issue 24 hour E-access for $238.22

Cookies Notification

This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Find out more.
Top